000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050956
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
1005 UTC SAT MAR 5 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.              
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...                        
ITCZ FROM 03N94W TO 03S110W TO 02S126W TO 04S140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 03S TO 04N BETWEEN 105W AND 121W.

...DISCUSSION...                                            
LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH AN OLD FRONT WILL
RETREAT NORTHWARD TODAY. STRONG SW WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE NEXT
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NW WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL
LOSE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH
SUN...AND EXTEND FROM 30N122W TO 26N130W TO 23N136W BY 1200 UTC
SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL BRING REINFORCING NW SWELL THAT WILL
PROPAGATE E-SE WHILE GENERALLY REMAINING N OF 20N THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE INTO N CALIFORNIA WITH
A TRAILING FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL WATERS BY MON
AFTERNOON. NW WINDS GREATER THAN 30 KT WILL SPREAD S OF 30N E OF
130W ON MON WITH GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE WITHIN 240 NM OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA MON AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE MORNING. ASSOCIATED 
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20-25 FT BY MON NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG SW TO 
W WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 24N TUE.

BUILDING HIGH PRES ACROSS THE NW GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALLOW GAP
WINDS TO INCREASE THROUGH TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING REACHING TO
30 KT THIS MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING BELOW 20-25 KT THIS
AFTERNOON AS DRAINAGE EFFECTS WEAKEN. ANOTHER WEAKER PULSE LATE
SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING WILL DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT AS
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...DRAINAGE EFFECTS AND HIGH PRES IN
THE CARIBBEAN SEA WILL INDUCE FRESH GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO THIS MORNING AND AGAIN SUN MORNING.

$$ 
LATTO