000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032120
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
2205 UTC TUE MAR 3 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.               
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N97W TO 02N120W TO 01N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 03N BETWEEN 118W AND 136W.

...DISCUSSION...
 
A STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N131W TO 24N140W WILL DISSIPATE
THROUGH EARLY FRI. ACCOMPANYING NW SWELL IN EXCESS OF 12 FT WILL
SWEEP SE AND COVER MUCH OF THE AREA W OF 120W BY LATE FRI.
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE NEXT FRONT MOVING INTO NW
WATERS EARLY SAT. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN SAT NIGHT AND REACH FROM
30N117W TO 25N135W BY SUN MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF REINFORCING NW
SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS N OF 20N W OF 130W LATE SUN.

BUILDING HIGH PRES OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALLOW GAP
WINDS TO INCREASE THROUGH TEHUANTEPEC FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING
REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE...THEN DIMINISH LATER SAT AS OVERNIGHT
DRAINAGE EFFECTS WEAKEN. DRAINAGE EFFECTS AND HIGH PRES N OF THE
AREA WILL INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS THROUGH THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO FRI. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT S OF PANAMA TONIGHT
AND INCREASE SEAS TO 6-7 FT. GAP WINDS WILL TAPER OFF SOMEWHAT
SUN THROUGH TUE.

LOOKING AHEAD...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE
SAT...WITH STRONG WESTERLY GAP WINDS PUNCHING INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA SUN. STRONG NW WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT AS
IT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION N OF 20N LATE SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT
WITH NW WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING GALE FORCE BETWEEN GUADALUPE
ISLAND AND THE BAJA COAST BY EARLY TUE...AND SEAS TO 15-20 FT. 
 
$$
MUNDELL