000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030322
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC THU MAR 3 2015 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N111W TO 02N130W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...
 
LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT ACROSS
NW WATERS EXTENDING FROM 30N133W TO 25N140W WILL SWEEP SE-WARD
ACROSS THE AREA W OF 110W THROUGH SAT AND GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. AN
ALTIMETER PASS AT 1500 UTC SHOWED MAX SEAS TO 17 FT NEAR 30N140W
AND 8 FT SEAS N OF 24N W OF 135W. 8-12 FT SEAS WILL BE W OF A
LINE FROM 30N122W TO 18N140W BY FRI MORNING. THE NEXT STRONG
FRONT REACHING 30N SAT WILL PRODUCE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS N OF
28N AND ANOTHER ROUND OF LARGE NW SWELL TO REINFORCE THE CURRENT
SWELL EVENT OVER NW WATERS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GALE CONDITIONS
N OF 31N SAT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS IF GALE
WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED DEPENDING ON TREND FOR STRONGER WINDS. 

HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 28N126W WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH FRI NIGHT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. EXPECT MODERATE TRADE W
OF 110W THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6-7 FT.

STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT WITH MAX SEAS TO 8 FT. FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. PERIODS OF FRESH NNE WINDS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA OVERNIGHT...WITH
SEAS TO 5-6 FT.

$$
MUNDELL