000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141520
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1605 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.   

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N93W TO 04N101W TO 08N110W TO 03N138W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 07N
BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.
 
...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 29N126W WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
THROUGH SUN. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER
PRES ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY
STRONG TRADE WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...MAINLY FROM 05N TO 20N
W OF 120W.

BY FRIDAY MORNING A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA WILL TIGHTEN
THE PRES GRADIENT IN NW WATERS...RESULTING IN FRESH TO STRONG SW
WINDS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
ACROSS NW WATERS THROUGH SAT THEN DISSIPATE. HOWEVER LARGE LONG
PERIOD SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT MAX SEAS TO REACH 20-21 FT NEAR 30N140W BY
EARLY SAT MORNING.

$$
MUNDELL