000
AXPZ20 KNHC 251607
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                
    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC FRI DEC 25 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1515 UTC.   

...SPECIAL FEATURES... 

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF OF CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. 20-30 KNOT WINDS
WILL DEVELOP N OF 30N TONIGHT AT 26/0600 UTC. GALE-FORCE
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL START IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF
28N IN 30 HOURS...ON SATURDAY 26/1800 UTC WITH SEAS TO 9 FT.
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...            

SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 05N90W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM
04N92W TO 08N110W TO 06N130W TO 04N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N E OF 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND
118W...AND FROM 03N TO 09N W OF 21W.  

...DISCUSSION...

A 1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 39N136W PRODUCING
IN AREA WATERS NW WINDS 20-25 KT WITH SEAS 12-13 FT FROM 27N-30N
E OF 124W. AN AREA OF 20-25 KT NW WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS RANGING
FROM 10-13 FT WILL DEVELOP FROM 23N NORTHWARD FROM 120W EASTWARD
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A SECOND AREA OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS...FROM THE NORTHEAST...AND SEA
HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 8 TO 11 FT...WILL EXIST FROM 06N TO 27N
FROM 120W WESTWARD...DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 8 TO 11 FT SEA
HEIGHTS ALSO WILL COVER A LARGE PART OF THE REST OF THE EASTERN
PACIFIC WATERS.

GAP WINDS...

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...

20 TO 30 KT NE WINDS ARE BLOWING THROUGH THE AREA AT THE START
OF THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE SEA HEIGHTS WILL START AT
LESS THAN 8 FEET...AND REACH 8 FEET DURING THE MID-MORNING HOURS
OF TODAY...FROM 09N TO 13N E OF 91W. TWO AREAS OF WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DEVELOP AT THE END OF DAY ONE... DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS OF SATURDAY. ONE WILL BE FOR THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...STILL
WITH NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LOWER THAN 8 FEET. THE
OTHER AREA WILL BE DOWNSTREAM... FROM 09N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 90W
AND 95W...WITH NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS REACHING
8 FEET. THE SEPARATE AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST BY THE END OF
DAY TWO. NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEA HEIGHTS LESS THAN 8 FT TO
THE EAST...AND WIND SPEEDS 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT SEA HEIGHTS TO
THE WEST.
   
$$
FORMOSA