000 AXPZ20 KNHC 020325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON NOV 2 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0300 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 14N103W TO 14N117W TO 11N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 04N-10N BETWEEN 84W-100W...AND FROM 07N-12N BETWEEN 132W-137W. ...DISCUSSION... AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT N OF THE AREA EXTENDS FROM 37N125W TO 30N142W. THE FRONT WILL REACH NORTHERN WATERS LATER TONIGHT TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO 27N140W BY MON EVENING...AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 23N140W BY TUE EVENING. STRONG HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BUILD ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN WATERS THROUGH TUE...WITH RESULTANT TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT USHERING IN ANOTHER ROUND OF FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS AND LARGE NW SWELL ACROSS THE WATERS BEHIND THE FRONT AND FRESH NW WINDS IN WATERS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SEVERAL WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL DRIFT SLOWLY ENE THROUGH MON. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN MONSOON TROUGH AND HIGH PRES TO THE N IS MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS S OF 20N W OF 120W...BUT A TIGHTER PRES GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING FRONT WILL INCREASE TRADE WINDS MON. AN AREA OF 8-10 FT COMBINED SEAS IN NW SWELL PREVAILS FROM 09N TO 23N W OF 129W. MODEL WAVE GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS AREA OF SWELL SLOWLY SHRINKING IN SIZE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND DOWNSTREAM TO 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 96W BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO MON MORNING...AND AGAIN LATE TUE NIGHT...WITH WINDS PULSING TO 30 KT AND SEAS TO 9-10 FT LATE EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. $$ MUNDELL