000 AXPZ20 KNHC 280230 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN JUN 28 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0200 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W FROM 03N-12N IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 99W-104W. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W FROM 04N-13N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07N-09N BETWEEN 111W-114W. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W FROM 05N-15N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N84W TO 07N97W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N101W TO 07N119W TO 12N134W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S AND 45 NM N OF THE TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 96W. ...DISCUSSION... CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE E OF A LOW W OF THE AREA NEAR 11N142W IS LOCATED FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 132W-140W. CONVECTION ELSEWHERE IS PRIMARILY FOCUSED ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IN THE VICINITY OF THE TWO EASTERN-MOST TROPICAL WAVES MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...WHERE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS APPARENT BASED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALONG 07N-08N E OF 113W. STATIONARY HIGH PRESSURE NEAR 30N140W IS WEAKENING AS A COLD FRONT NW OF THE AREA PUSHES ACROSS 140W-145W. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS FRESH N-NW WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BAJA N OF 30N AND MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS FROM 13N-23N W OF 128W. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION EXCEPT FOR DOWNWIND FROM THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO MENTIONED BELOW. GAP WINDS... GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH NE WINDS DEPICTED IN A 1530 UTC ASCAT PASS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS A RIDGE TO THE N SHIFTS E. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO 6-7 FT TONIGHT. $$ MUNDELL