000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090916
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1005 UTC TUE JUN 9 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM  
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...  

1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 09N96W HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL 
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY 
INDICATES RANDOM DISORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW CENTER. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND 
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES 
SLOWLY NORTHWARD THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS.

...TROPICAL WAVES... 

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W N OF 03N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. RANDOM 
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION W THE WAVE AXIS TO 87W.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N117W TO 10N129W TO 08N135W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLANCA NEAR 29.0N 114.1W 1005 MB AT 0900 
UTC JUN 09 MOVING N AT 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM E OF CENTER SEAS TO 8 
FT. ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 0400 UTC SHOWED HIGHEST WINDS E 
OF CENTER IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

MAINLY BENIGN CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 1-2 DAYS EXCEPT 
IN THE VICINITY OF THE TROPICAL LOW MENTIONED ABOVE NEAR 09N96W.

$$ 
MUNDELL