000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080317
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC SUN FEB 08 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0315 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                         
FAR NW WATERS GALE WARNING...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE 
AREA W OF A FRONT LINE FROM 30N137W TO 26N140W AND WITHIN 90 NM 
E OF THE FRONT. THIS GALE WARNING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNRISE 
SUN. PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIAHSFEP2/FZFEP03 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 6N88W TO 4N98W WHERE THE 
ITCZ AXIS CONTINUES ALONG 5N103W 4N108W 5N115W 3N128W TO 5N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 82W-91W...AND FROM 3N-7N 
BETWEEN 115W-126W. 

...DISCUSSION...                                                
A POWERFUL SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER JET EXTENDS OVER THE NW WATERS 
WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE GALE WARNING IN THE 
SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE GENERATING A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH 
THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N133W TO 26N140W. THIS FRONT IS 
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NW WATERS AND BEGIN WEAKENING ON  
ISSUN BEFORE DISSIPATING BY MON MORNING. AN AREA OF NW SWELL IS 
ALREADY IN PLACE W OF A LINE FROM 30N121W 18N132W TO 11N140W. 
SEAS AS HIGH AS 15 FT ARE IN THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG 
WINDS...BUT ARE AS HIGH AS 21 FT IN THE AREA OF GALE FORCE 
WINDS. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL SHIFT OVERNIGHT AND BE N OF THE 
AREA BY EARLY SUN. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE AREA OF NW SWELL WITH 
SEAS OVER 8 FT WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD... 
REACHING THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE BY SUNSET SUN.  
MAXIMUM SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AFTER THE GALE WARNING 
EXPIRES SUN MORNING. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVES RAPIDLY NE OUT OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA AS THE TRAILING FRONT DISSIPATES.  

A 1021 MB SURFACE HIGH NEAR 29N121W EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS 
SOUTHEASTWARD TO 20N115W. THIS STUBBORN HIGH WILL REMAIN IN THE 
SAME GENERAL AREA THROUGH SUN. TRADE WINDS WILL REMAIN A 
MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE THROUGH MON MORNING.

GAP WINDS....                                                 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH E-NE WINDS...WITH SEAS TO 8 FT ARE 
CURRENTLY IN PLACE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. STRONG WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH THE 
ASSISTANCE OF MOUNTAIN DRAINAGE FLOW BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING 
ON SUN. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY SUN AFTERNOON.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE WINDS...WITH SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. 
THE SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO SEND 
NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH CHIVELA PASS INTO THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 20 KT BY SUN 
EVENING BUT WILL RETURN MON EVENING. SEAS ARE CURRENTLY TO 10 FT 
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND WILL STEADY SUBSIDE THROUGH SUN 
DIPPING BELOW 8 FT BY SUN AFTERNOON. 
 
$$ 
PAW