000 AXPZ20 KNHC 062205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI FEB 06 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING...A SURFACE HIGH OVER NORTHERN TEXAS RIDGES S ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH NORTHERLY WINDS PUSHING THROUGH THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. EARLIER ASCAT PASSES AROUND 06/1548 UTC AND 06/1634 UTC INDICATED PEAK WINDS OF 35-40 KT WITH MAXIMUM SEAS IN THE 20 TO 22 FT. FORCING SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH AND THE PEAK WINDS DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DIMINISH FURTHER TO 15-20 KT BY SUN AFTERNOON. A NEW TEHUANTEPEC EVENT SHOULD BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT AND APPROACHING GALE CONDITIONS EARLY TUESDAY. GALE WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN AREA...AN UPPER-LONGWAVE TROUGH DOMINATES THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. A COLD FRONT BECOMING MOSTLY STATIONARY CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM 30N132W TO 22N140W. A RECENT 06/1906 UTC ASCAT PASS INDICATED NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WIND IN THE VERY FAR CORNER OF THE AREA N OF 28 W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE... SOUTHWESTERLY 20-30 KT WINDS AND SEAS OF 9 TO 15 FT ARE NOTED N OF A LINE FROM 30N125W TO 25N132W TO 26N140W. THESE NEAR GALE WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF A SECOND COLD FRONT ARRIVING AT 30N140W TONIGHT. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL LOSE IDENTITY IN THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY AS A THIRD COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA ACCOMPANIED BY W-SW 30-35 KT GALE FORCE WINDS AND SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT ON SATURDAY EVENING. THIS THIRD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 30N132W TO 24N137W ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE GRADIENT SUPPORTING W-SW 20-25 KT WINDS ONLY ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 30N W OF 125W...BUT THE ASSOCIATED NW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE SE ACROSS THE WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 32N120W TO 06N140W. THE NW SWELLS WILL SUBSIDE WITH ONLY 8 FT COMBINED SEAS FORECAST ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SUNDAY EVENING. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N82W TO 03N91W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N91W TO 04N106W TO 03N110W TO 05N123W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N E OF 91W...AND FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 116W TO 122W. ...DISCUSSION... A WEAK 1021 MB SURFACE HIGH NEAR 26N121W WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY THEN LOSE IDENTITY IN A RIDGE BUILDING SE FROM 30N138W TO 16N113W. GULF OF PAPAGAYO...FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PULSE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITH SEAS TO 10 FT. GULF OF PANAMA...FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FUNNEL ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF PANAMA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ HUFFMAN