000
AXPZ20 KNHC 111516
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC TUE NOV 11 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.                       

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...          
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 7N95W TO 11N104W...RESUMES FROM 
11N111W TO 9N125W. ITCZ FROM 9N125W TO 6N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM N AND 40 NM S 
OF AXIS FROM 124WI128W.
       
...DISCUSSION...                                                
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA 
EXTENDS FROM 32N135W TO AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED 
NEAR 10N126W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH E OF THE RIDGE WITH AXIS 
FROM NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 12N117W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH 
DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS N OF 15N W 
OF 110W. IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
IS CENTERED NEAR 2N102W WITH RIDGE N INTO CENTRAL MEXICO.

A NEARLY STATIONARY 1005 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 
20N110W. STRONG SW WINDS ALOFT IS SHEARING THE SYSTEM APART AND 
DISPLACING THE MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION UP TO 100 NM E OF 
THE LOW CENTER. A WELL DEFINED EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER IS 
EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WINDS ARE UP TO 20-30 KT N THE 
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N133W TO 23N140W. SEAS 8-10 FT IN NW 
SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 32N135W TO 22N140W WILL SLOWLY SPREAD 
ESE THROUGH THU. 

$$ 
DGS