000 AXPZ20 KNHC 101537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON NOV 10 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO IS INDUCING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING 20 KNOTS OR LESS EARLY TUE MORNING. A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 18N112W WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD...WITH WINDS 20- 25 KT WITHIN 75 NM E QUADRANT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY NEAR 22N107W AND WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-30 KT TUE. THE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND TUE EVENING. THE LOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 8N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 9N87W 1010 MB TO 5N95W TO 10N110W...RESUMES FROM 11N117W TO 7N132W. ITCZ FROM 7N132W TO 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-17N BETWEEN 107W-116W AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS FROM 117W TO 123W. ...DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS APPROACHING THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA. OTHERWISE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS EXTENDS FROM 32N127W TO AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 12N133W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH E OF THE RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 13N117W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS N OF 12N W OF 115W. IN THE DEEP TROPICS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 5N98W WITH RIDGE N INTO CENTRAL MEXICO. SEAS 8-10 FT IN NW SWELL NW OF A LINE FROM 32137W TO 23N140W WILL SLOWLY SPREAD ESE THROUGH WED. $$ DGS