000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100351
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC MON NOV 10 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.                       

...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                       
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE HAS 
DEVELOPED FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN 
CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC 
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED 
ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BEING 
OBSERVED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS 
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMING 20 
KNOTS OR LESS MONDAY NIGHT. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N77W TO 07N81W...TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
09N87W...TO 05N96W...TO 12N113W...TO 09N130W. ITCZ FROM 09N130W 
TO 05N137W...BEYOND 06N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
06N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND 128W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 11N 
E OF 89W. 

.1007 MB LOW 16N112.5W...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 
107W AND 110W...FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W...AND FROM 
20N TO 21N BETWEEN 111W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 117W. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE 
FOR THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW CENTER IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 

.1008 MB LOW 09N87W...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 09N TO 10N BETWEEN 
85W AND 88W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                

AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER AND AN ACCOMPANYING 
ARE STILL TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. THESE FEATURES ARE 
APPROACHING THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. 

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH SOUTHERN 
ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...ACROSS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA 
PENINSULA...TO 28N116W 24N120W AND TO 12N122W. COMPARATIVELY 
DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO 
THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE LINE 25N112W 20N117W 15N121W 
9N130W...AND IN A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THAT COVERS FROM 10N TO 
20N FROM 130W WESTWARD. THE TROUGH IS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA OF 
THE 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER.

THE SEA HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 8 TO 10 FEET IN 
NORTHWESTERLY SWELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 
25N140W DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO.

$$
MT