000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130950
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1005 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...  

NEWLY UPGRADED HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 105.6W 983 
MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 13 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION 
WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...WITH SCATTERED TO 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 
117W IN THE STRONG SWLY FLOW FEEDING INTO THE S SIDE OF ODILE. 
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE 
NEXT 48 HOURS AS ODILE MOVES NW BEFORE THE HURRICANE REACHES 
COOLER WATERS AND WILL BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND. SWELLS FROM 
ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO 
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF 
OF CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS 
SURF ALONG THE MEXICAN COASTLINE AND GENERATE LIFE-THREATENING 
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL 
WEATHER OFFICE. SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER 
MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND THE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED  NEAR 16.5N 117.5W 
1007 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 13 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 6 KT. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITHIN 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. THE 
DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST...AND THIS MOTION IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE T.D. IS 
EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY 
SUNDAY. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           

THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N74W TO 08N84W TO DEVELOPING LOW PRES 
NEAR 10.5N93W 1008 MB TO 11.5N96W...WHERE IT REMAINS 
FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 19N112W THROUGH T.D. SIXTEEN-E 
NEAR 16.5N 117.5W 1007 MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N132W 1011 MB TO 
BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED 
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 80W AND 94W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 90 NM 
N AND 210 NM S OF TROUGH W OF 131W. 

...DISCUSSION...

1025 MB HIGH PRES WELL N OF THE AREA NEAR 50N137W EXTENDS A WEAK 
RIDGE THROUGH A 1014 MB HIGH CENTER NEAR 28N132W TO 20N116W. THE 
RIDGE IS SQUEEZED N OF THE AREA BETWEEN LOW PRES OFF THE 
CALIFORNIA COAST TO ITS EAST AND A DEEP LAYER LOW N-NE OF THE 
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO ITS W. THIS COMPROMISED RIDGE IS SUPPORTING 
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES OVER W WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE 
EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 

THE LEADING EDGE OF SW SWELL WITH PERIODS IN EXCESS OF 20 
SECONDS HAS BEGUN TO CROSS THE EQUATOR W OF 115W. THE LEADING 
EDGE OF THIS VERY STRONG SWELL WILL STRETCH FROM THE GALAPAGOS 
ISLANDS TO NW FORECAST WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND REACH MUCH OF 
THE COAST OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICAN ON SUN. SEAS OVER 8 FT 
ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH N AND MERGE WITH THE AREA OF 8 FT SEAS 
GENERATED BY ODILE BY SUN. 
 
$$ 
STRIPLING