000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312201
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
2205 UTC SUN AUG 31 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            
A TROPICAL WAVE WAS LOCATED ALONG 110W-11W FROM 08N TO 21N 
MOVING WWD 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WAS 
NOTED FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W WHERE THE WAVE IS 
INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO 
REMAIN ACTIVE ALONG AND S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS AREA 
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N74.5W TO 13N97.5W TO 
10N124W... WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 
BEYOND 07N140W.  SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 150 NM N AND 210 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 92W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM N AND 90 NM S OF ITCZ W OF 130W.

...DISCUSSION...    
A 1011 MB LOW PRES CENTER...THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE...IS 
CENTERED NEAR 31.5N138W...AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD AND 
ELONGATED AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS SURROUNDING THE CENTER. 
THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OUTSIDE OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...BUT 
ASSOCIATED SEAS TO 8 FT CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE 
FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA. THESE SEAS TO 8 FT WILL LINGER OVER 
THE FAR NW WATERS THIS EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8 FT MON.

A 1026 MB HIGH WAS CENTERED NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 
42N150W AND EXTENDED A NARROW RIDGE SW INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA 
NEAR 24N140W EXTENDING TO NEAR 19N120W. THE RIDGING WILL 
GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD AS THE MONSOON TROUGH LIFTS NORTHWARD 
AND CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE AS A RESULT OF AN 
INTERACTION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE 
YUCATAN PENINSULA. SW MONSOON FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT 
24 HOURS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH 
AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 120W BY MONDAY EVENING.

E OF 100W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE 
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
STRIPLING