000
AXPZ20 KNHC 241600
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1005 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1415 UTC.
  
...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                           

HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 111.4W AT 24/1500 UTC 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 929 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 
160 KT. MARIE HAS DEVELOPED A BROAD 30 NM EYE WITH NUMEROUS 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 
110W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 
08N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W IN A LARGE AREA OF SW FLOW 
CONVERGING INTO MARIE. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 42 FT 
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE NE QUADRANT OF MARIE. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23   
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.0N 131.4W AT 24/1500 
UTC MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 993 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. ASSOCIATED HIGHEST SEAS ARE STILL 
REACHING AS HIGH AS 18 FT MAINLY WITHIN 90 NM OF THE SE QUADRANT 
OF KARINA. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 08N95W TO 11N102W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS E 
OF 90W.
       
...DISCUSSION...    

POST-TROPICAL STORM LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 25.5N 128.5W MOVING 
NW AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WATER TEMPERATURES 
ARE FAIRLY COOL...AND NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED IN 
THE REGION SURROUNDING THIS LOW. RECENT SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE 
DATA FROM THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS INDICATED STRONG NE WINDS WERE 
STILL IN PLACE TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW. SIMILARLY SEAS OF 8 TO 
13 FT WERE APPARENT IN RECENT ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA WITHIN 
240 NM OF THE CENTER OF THE LOW. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS...WITH THE AREA OF 20 TO 25 KT N OF THE LOW SHRINKING AND 
SHIFTING N OF 32N WITH SEAS SUBSIDING ACCORDINGLY. 

SEAS IN EXCESS OF 8 FT ARE ACTIVE IN THE WATERS N OF 23N W OF 
125W IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL CREATED BY THE PERSISTENCE OF THE 
TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
CHRISTENSEN