000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240930
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0215 UTC.
  
...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                           

HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 109.9W AT 24/0900 UTC 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 944 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 
140 KT. MARIE HAS DEVELOPED AN KEYS WITH NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 
105 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 260 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND WITHIN 375 NM IN THE SW QUADRANT. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23   
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.9N 132.6W AT 24/0900 
UTC MOVING ENE OR 075 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM IN THE NE 
AND 90 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N90W TO 13N101W  
THEN RESUMES FROM 11N112W TO 10N120W TO 13N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS 
PRESENT E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 
WITHIN 200 NM S OF AXIS FROM 113W-137W
       
...DISCUSSION...    

POST-TROPICAL STORM LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.9N 127.9W MOVING 
NW AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ONLY ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM IN THE NW QUADRANT. SEE 
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22   KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N122W TO ALONG THE COAST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 27N120W. OUTSIDE OF THE INFLUENCES OF THE  
TROPICAL SYSTEMS MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND 5-7 FT SEAS ARE 
DOMINATING THE AREA.

GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES WILL FORM 
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WELL SW OF THE GULF OF FONSECA WHERE IT 
WILL LINGER NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH NO 
DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED WITH IT.

$$
DGS