000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240249
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
0405 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0215 UTC.
  
...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                           

HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 108.7W AT 24/0300 UTC 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 971 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO  
110 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 105 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 19N104W TO 12N110W TO 
08N120W...AND WITHIN 480 NM IN THE W QUADRANT. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23   
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

HURRICANE KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 132.8W AT 24/0300 UTC 
MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 
988 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM IN THE NE AND  
75 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY 
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

RECENTLY DOWNGRADED POST-TROPICAL STORM LOWELL IS CENTERED   
NEAR 24.0N 127.4W AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM IN THE NE QUADRANT. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22   
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 09N90W TO 11N98W  
THEN RESUMES FROM 12N110W TO 08N117W TO 10N124W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS 
PRESENT E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W...AND FROM 06N 
TO 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W.
       
...DISCUSSION...    

A 1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR 
43N145W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 32N126W TO ALONG THE COAST 
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 30N120W. OUTSIDE OF THE INFLUENCES OF 
THE THREE TROPICAL SYSTEMS MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS 
ARE DOMINATING THE WATERS.

GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES WILL FORM 
ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WELL SW OF THE GULF OF FONSECA WHERE IT 
WILL LINGER NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH NO 
DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED WITH IT.

$$
LEWITSKY