000
AXPZ20 KNHC 232050
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
2205 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2015 UTC.
  
...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                           

HURRICANE KARINA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.3N 133.5W AT 23/2100 UTC 
MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 
988 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM IN THE E 
AND 90 NM IN THE W SEMICIRCLES. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY 
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

HURRICANE MARIE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.1N 107.6W AT 23/2100 UTC 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 979 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 
THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF THE CENTER...AND WITHIN 240 NM SE OF 
A LINE FROM 13N108W TO 08N118W. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY 
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL IS CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 127.0W AT 23/2100 
UTC MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 
KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED NEAR LOWELL. SEE LATEST 
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N98W THEN    
RESUMES FROM 11N110W TO 08N117W TO 10N123W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS 
PRESENT E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 
NM E OF A LINE FROM 13N94W TO 06N97W...FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 
121W AND 128W...AND ALSO FROM 11N TO 13N W OF 137W.
       
...DISCUSSION...    

A 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED WELL NW OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS NEAR 
44N143W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 32N125W TO ALONG THE COAST 
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 23N113W. OUTSIDE OF THE INFLUENCES OF 
THE THREE TROPICAL SYSTEMS MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS 
ARE DOMINATING THE WATERS.

A WEAK UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA NEAR 
12N87W ASSISTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND TSTMS TO THE S. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A WEAK 
AREA OF LOW PRES WILL FORM ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS 
GENERAL AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION OR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH 48 
HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY