000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100230
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
0405 UTC SAT AUG 10 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0200 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...                                          
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 12N. THE WAVE IS ALIGNED WITH BROAD 
700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 88W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG  
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ALONG WAVE 
AXIS...AND N OF 15N IN TEHUANTEPEC REGION.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...       
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N107W TO 15N122W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 15N122W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON 
TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 98W AND BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM N OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 123W. 
       
...DISCUSSION...                                               
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 25N121W WITH A 
SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 36N137W. WATER VAPOR 
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY STABLE CONDITIONS UNDER MODERATE SUBSIDENCE 
MORE THAN 120 NM N OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS. WITH WIDESPREAD 
LOWER ATMOSPHERIC STABILITY IN PLACE...THE TROPICS ARE EXPECTED 
TO REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH WINDS 
AND SEAS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. 

$$
MUNDELL