000
AXPZ20 KNHC 092130
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
2205 UTC SAT AUG 9 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...                                          
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 1011 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N89W. THE 
WAVE IS ALIGNED WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGH BETWEEN 86W AND 94W 
WITH WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AT S 
EXTENT OF THE WAVE NEAR 11N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...       
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N89W 1011 
MB TO 11N102W TO 14N112W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 16N118W TO 15N125W 
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
150 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS W OF 121W. 
       
...DISCUSSION...                                               
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W WITH A 
SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N135W. WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY DRY STABLE CONDITIONS UNDER MODERATE 
SUBSIDENCE GENERALLY TO THE NW OF A LINE FROM THE SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N111W TO 15N130W TO 14N140W. WITH 
WIDESPREAD LOWER ATMOSPHERIC STABILITY IN PLACE...THE TROPICS 
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS 
WITH WINDS AND SEAS BELOW INCLUSION INTO THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. 

$$
MUNDELL