000
AXPZ20 KNHC 091519
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
1605 UTC SAT AUG 09 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...                                          
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N90W TO 16N89W MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH BROAD 700 MB TROUGHING BETWEEN 85W 
AND 93W WITH AN 850 MB RELATIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM NOTED IN THE 
VICINITY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE 
WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 07N TO 
13N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...       
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N90W TO 10N103W TO 
14N112W TO 10N120W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 10N120W TO 07N130W TO 07N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 08N E OF 81W...AND FROM 09N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 114W AND 126W...AND FROM 06N TO 11N W OF 
133W.
       
...DISCUSSION...                                         

AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W WITH A 
SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N137W. WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS UNDER MODERATE 
SUBSIDENCE GENERALLY TO THE NW OF A LINE FROM THE SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 24N111W TO 15N130W TO 14N140W. WITH 
THE STABILITY IN PLACE...MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE TRADES ARE 
OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO PERSIST DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 
HOURS. OTHERWISE...THE TROPICS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY 
TRANQUIL DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH WINDS AND SEAS BELOW 
INCLUSION INTO THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. 

$$
HUFFMAN