000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090226
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
0405 UTC SAT AUG 9 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...                                     
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 08N ALONG 100W MOVING W AT 15 KT. EMBEDDED 
WITHIN MOIST EASTERLY 700 MB FLOW...THE WAVE IS PRODUCING 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 07N93W TO 14N89W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 10N92W TO 09N99W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 07N93W TO 14N89W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 117W.
       
...DISCUSSION...                                         
HURRICANE JULIO MOVING FARTHER W OF AREA WITH WINDS E OF 140W 
CURRENTLY 20 KT OR LESS. MIXED SWELL TO 11 FT REMAINS FROM 17N 
TO 24N W OF 137W. AS JULIO TRACKS WESTWARD...CONDITIONS WILL 
IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE AREA FROM 14N TO 26N W OF 135W 
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. SEE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY 
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE RELATIVELY TRANQUIL 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WEAK HIGH PRES REMAINS ACROSS NORTH-
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. AS CONDITIONS FROM 
JULIO MOVE WEST OF THE AREA...MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE TRADES 
WILL DEVELOP PRIMARILY NW OF A LINE FROM 20N110W TO 10N140W. 

SE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ REGION... 
A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 110W AND TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 84W AND 98W 
WILL MOVE WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE OR DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED 
OTHER THAN DIURNAL FLARE UPS OF ASSOCIATED CONVECTION THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF DAYS. E-NE FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE BASIN 
S OF 25N ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE 
CENTERED 25N118W.

$$
MUNDELL