000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081533
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
1605 UTC FRI AUG 08 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...                                     
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N96W TO 16N95W MOVING E AT 10-15 
KT. EMBEDDED WITHIN EASTERLY 700 MB FLOW...SCATTERED MODERATE 
AND STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 
FROM 10N101W TO 14N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 07N81W TO 10N89W TO 08N98W TO 
11N108W TO 08N119W TO 09N126W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE 
ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N126W TO 06N135W TO 07N140W. WIDELY 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 82W AND 90W....FROM 
05N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 104W...AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF A LINE FROM 08N104W TO 07N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 126W AND 132W.
       
...DISCUSSION...                                         

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIO HAS PASSED W OF 140W...HOWEVER 
IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
REMAIN ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF THE WEST-CENTRAL WATERS THIS 
MORNING. AS JULIO TRACKS WESTWARD...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
GRADUALLY IMPROVE IN THE AREA FROM 14N TO 26N W OF 134W THROUGH 
THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. SEE LATEST CPHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER 
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMCP4/WTPA24 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS 
REGARDING HURRICANE JULIO.

THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE RELATIVELY TRANQUIL 
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WEAK HIGH PRES REMAINS ACROSS NORTH-
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. AS CONDITIONS FROM 
JULIO MOVE WEST OF THE AREA...MODERATE TO FRESH N TO NE TRADES 
WILL PERSIST GENERALLY NW OF A LINE FROM 20N110W TO 10N140W. 
LOOKING SE OF THE RIDGING INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ REGION... 
A PAIR OF SURFACE TROUGHS AND A TROPICAL WAVE ARE MOVING 
WESTWARD. LITTLE CHANGE OR DEVELOPMENT OTHER THAN ASSOCIATED 
CONVECTION WITH EACH FEATURE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE 
OF DAYS. OTHERWISE...EAST-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE 
OVER MUCH OF THE BASIN S OF 25N ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF 
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONES CENTERED NEAR 17N94W AND 25N118W.

$$
HUFFMAN