000 AXPZ20 KNHC 081006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI AUG 8 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0945 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... HURRICANE JULIO CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 140.4W AT 08/0930 UTC OR ABOUT 970 MILES E OF HILO HAWAII MOVING WNW OR 285W DEG AT 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. DEEP CONVECTION OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS RECENTLY DIMINISHED SOME AS POCKETS OF DRY AIR WERE ENTRAINED INTO THE NW AND N QUADRANTS OF THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING NEW DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION IN BANDS OVER PORTIONS OF THOSE QUADRANTS. CONVECTION CONSISTS OF THE SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG TYPE WITHIN 75 NM SE AND NE QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60- 75 NM OF THE CENTER EXCEPT FOR 45 NM IN THE NW QUADRANT. JULIO WILL CONTINUE PULL AWAY FROM THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING TODAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON JULIO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO. PLEASE SEE AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPA24 PHFO FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON JULIO. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS N OF 09N ALONG 96W MOVING W AT ABOUT 10-15 KT. EMBEDDED WITHIN EASTERLY 700 MB FLOW...GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A RELATIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N96W. SCATTERED/MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 240 NM W OF WAVE. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N79W TO 10N91W TO 09N100W THEN ITCZ TO 12N106W. ITCZ RESUMES AT 12N113W TO 10N123W TO 06N132W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W-92W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 123W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N112W TO 08N117W...AND ALSO FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. ...DISCUSSION... HURRICANE JULIO REMAINS PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING AS IT PULLS W OF THE AREA. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH EARLY SAT. THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY TRANQUIL THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WEAK HIGH PRES REMAINS OVER THE N CENTRAL AND NW SECTIONS OF THE AREA. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVING W AROUND 13 KT IS ALONG 111W FROM 10N TO 19N. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE TROUGH. OTHERWISE...AFTER JULIO EXITS THE AREA...EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE OVER MUCH OF THE BASIN S OF 24N ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 24N120W. E-NE TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO RE-ESTABLISH THEMSELVES ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10-15 KT AND SEAS RUNNING 5-7 FT. $$ AGUIRRE