000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211521
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
1605 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...                           

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N116W TO 10N116W MOVING W 15 KT.  
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N 
BETWEEN 114W-118W. 
 
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 17N135W TO 1009 MB LOW 12N137W. 
CONVECTION MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N84W TO 8N89W. ITCZ FROM 8N89W TO LOW PRES 
9N113W TO 10N125W TO 9N130W TO 11N135W TO 9N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N E OF 92W AND WITHIN 120 
NM N OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 30N127W TO 27N135W TO 29N140W. A WEAK 
75 KT JETSTREAM S OF THE TROUGH AXIS IS FROM 26N140W TO 24N130W. 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 18N120W TO 15N140W. ANOTHER 
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N103W. UPPER 
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND AN 
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS ENHANCING 
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W.

ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL FROM 10N-12N W 
OF 130W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG 
ELY WINDS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ENTERING INTO THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WITH NE-E WINDS 20-25 KT FROM 10N-12N E OF 
89W. THESES CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF DAYS.

$$
DGS