000 AXPZ20 KNHC 010306 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0230 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 114.9W OR ABOUT 390 NM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 01/0000 UTC MOVING NW AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.4N 104.4W OR ABOUT 95 NM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AT 01/0000 UTC MOVING W-NW AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER W SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE AND WAS DROPPED FROM THE 01/0000 UTC ANALYSIS. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 08N93W TO 05N100W TO 06N104W THEN RESUMES SW OF T.S. DOUGLAS NEAR 14N119W TO 10N126W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. ...DISCUSSION... A SW-NE ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION DOMINATES MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO BEYOND 32N115W AND ANOTHER RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO 20N140W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE COVERING MOST OF THE AREA NORTH AND WEST OF TROPICAL STORMS DOUGLAS AND ELIDA. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 16N128W MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT...ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED BETWEEN THE TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES IS PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH EACH SYSTEM. A THIRD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS FROM THE CARIBBEAN OVER THE AREA N OF 94N E OF 88W. UPPER DIFFLUENCE TO THE W OF THIS RIDGE IS HELPING TO INDUCE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH TO 04N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SURFACE RIDGE IS N OF 24N E OF 125W. LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES ARE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE SOUTH- CENTRAL WATERS TODAY...BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT S OF 04N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W THROUGH THU. $$ PAW