000
AXPZ20 KNHC 170225
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC TUE JUN 17 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            
A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WEST AT 10 KT WITH AXIS ALONG 97W-98W. 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE REMAIN MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. 
THE WAVE WILL DRIFT W AND REMAIN WEAK.

A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W IS MOVING ACROSS COSTA RICA AND 
NICARAGUA INTO EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS. LITTLE OR NO CONVECTION 
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N114W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 09N114W TO 04N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
THE SWIRL OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW 
CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 22N117W. THERE IS NO INDICATION FROM 
ASCAT AND ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA THAT WINDS AND SEAS CURRENTLY 
MEET FORECAST CRITERIA OF 20-25 KT WINDS AND 8 FT SEAS.

1030 MB HIGH WELL NW OF AREA NEAR 39N147W EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO 
NEAR 24N122W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER 
PRESSURE NEAR THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE AND OCCASIONAL 
FRESH TRADE WINDS BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. AREAS OF SEAS TO 
8 FT PERSIST FROM 08N TO 10N W OF 135W WITH RESIDUAL SE SWELL.

SW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WILL 
APPROACH THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WED EVENING THEN 
SPREAD NORTHWARD TO COVER AN AREA S OF 03N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W 
THROUGH THU NIGHT...THEN DIMINISH FRI.

$$ 
MUNDELL