000
AXPZ20 KNHC 162130
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2205 UTC MON JUN 16 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            
A TROPICAL WAVE IS DRIFTING WEST WITH AXIS OF THE WAVE NEAR 96W. 
THE INTERACTION OF THE WAVE WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS ALLOWED 
A 1009 MB LOW TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 08N96W. 
ACTIVE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THE LOW AND TROPICAL WAVE IS 
MINIMAL AT THIS TIME BUT EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT. THE LOW 
AND TROPICAL WAVE ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT WESTWARD REACHING 100W 
IN ABOUT 24-36 HOURS.
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 05N83W TO 10N90W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 09N96W 1009 MB TO 10N110W TO 09N115W. THE ITCZ FROM 09N115W 
TO 06N130W TO 07N140W. PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONVECTION ARE NOTED 
NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...BUT SHOWER ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL 
THIS AFTERNOON.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
THE SWIRL OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW 
CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 22N117W. THERE IS NO INDICATION FROM 
ASCAT AND ALTIMETER SATELLITE DATA THAT WINDS AND SEAS CURRENTLY 
MEET FORECAST CRITERIA OF 20-25 KT WINDS AND 8 FT SEAS.

1030 MB HIGH WELL NW OF AREA NEAR 39N147W EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO 
NEAR 24N122W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER 
PRESSURE NEAR THE ITCZ IS SUPPORTING MODERATE AND OCCASIONAL 
FRESH TRADE WINDS BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. AREAS OF SEAS TO 
8 FT PERSIST FROM 07N TO 11N W OF 135W WITH RESIDUAL SE SWELL.

$$ 
MUNDELL