000 AXPZ20 KNHC 160236 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON JUN 16 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0230 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING W SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH AN AXIS NEAR 93W. 1007 MB LOW PRES IS ANALYZED NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF WAVE NEAR 09N93W. ACTIVE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THIS TROPICAL WAVE HAS DIMINISHED THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE LOW AND TROPICAL WAVE ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT WESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS...WITH THE LOW GRADUALLY WEAKENING LATER IN THE WEEK. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N77W TO 07N82W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N93W TO 006N113W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N113W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 136W. ...DISCUSSION... POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 21N114W AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN LACKING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KT. SEAS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 8 TO 9 FT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WELL NW OF AREA NEAR 39N148W EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO AROUND 22N120W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE NEAR THE ITCZ IS MAINTAINING GENERALLY MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER WESTERN FORECAST WATERS. AREAS OF 15 TO 20 KT WINDS ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SE SWELL TO SUPPORT SEAS TO 9 FT OVER AN AREA S OF 11N W OF 129W. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. $$ MUNDELL