000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141530
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1605 UTC SAT JUN 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...                                           
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 111.4W AT 14/1500 
UTC MOVING NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH 
GUSTS TO 75 KT. MAXIMUM SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 21 FT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 109W 
AND 112W. CRISTINA CONTINUES TO STEADILY WEAKEN...AND WILL 
CONTINUE THE WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES NW DURING THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ 
WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 04N86W TO 16N86W MOVING W AT 10-15 
KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W 
AND 90W. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 06N82W TO 09N88W TO 
08N97W TO 10N104W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 06N110W TO 05N115W TO 07N121W TO 05N127W TO 06N132W 
TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
FROM 02N TO 07N W OF 81W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
05N TO 14N BETWEEN 87W AND 97W...AND FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 
111W AND 113W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
A 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 40N148W THAT 
EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS SE TO NEAR 22N116W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT 
BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE 
VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS 
OVER THE WESTERN FORECAST WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST 
TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 86W WILL INTERACT WITH THE 
MONSOON TROUGH AS THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC 
WATERS. THIS INTERACTION WILL RESULT IN A BROAD AND WEAK LOW 
PRESSURE AREA FORMING WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 10N 
BETWEEN 85W AND 100W DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. WHILE WINDS 
REMAIN WELL BELOW 20 KT...IT APPEARS THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN 
INCREASE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE 
WAVE AND MONSOON TROUGH E OF 100W.

SUBSIDING CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL CONTINUES TO 
AFFECT THE SW WATERS...AND SW SWELL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SE 
WATERS. COMBINED SEAS ASSOCIATED TO THESE AREAS OF SWELL WILL 
SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY SUNDAY.

$$
HUFFMAN