000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140914
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC SAT JUN 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 19.3N 111.2W AT 14/0900 UTC 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB. MAX 
SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 24 FT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 50 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CRISTINA. CRISTINA CONTINUES TO STEADILY WEAKEN...AND WILL 
CONTINUE THE WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES NW DURING THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES 
ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 

...TROPICAL WAVE...                                              
A TROPICAL WAVE CROSSING CENTRAL AMERICA IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 
KT. ACTIVE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 
88W ASSOCIATED TO THE WAVE. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 08N103W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 09N114W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 88W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 
120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 104W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1033 MB CENTERED WELL NNW OF THE AREA NEAR 
41N145W EXTENDS A RIDGE SE TO NEAR 26N121W. THE PRESSURE 
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN 
THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS 
OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE 
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE WILL INTERACT WITH THE MONSOON 
TROUGH AS THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS. 
THIS INTERACTION WILL RESULT IN A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA 
FORMING WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. FOR NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE 
MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE 
VICINITY THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 100W.  

SUBSIDING CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL CONTINUES TO 
AFFECT THE FAR S WATERS...S OF LINE FROM 04N140W TO 05N122W TO 
2.5S100W. COMBINED SEAS ASSOCIATED TO THIS SWELL WILL SUBSIDE 
BELOW 8 FT BY SUN NIGHT. 
 
$$
AL