000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140241
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC SAT JUN 14 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 110.7W AT 14/0300 UTC 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB. MAX 
SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 30 FT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
OCCURRING WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. CRISTINA WILL STEADILY 
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NW DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 

...TROPICAL WAVE...                                              
A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO COSTA RICA IS ENHANCING SHOWERS OVER 
WATERS S OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. THE TROPICAL WAVE MAY BECOME 
LESS DISTINCT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE 
MONSOON TROUGH. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N93W TO 12N105W. 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N114W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION N OF 04N BETWEEN 82W AND 88W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
HIGH PRESSURE WELL NNW OF THE AREA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 
NEAR 25N120W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE 
CENTER AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS 
MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER WESTERN WATERS. THESE 
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES FORMING IN THE FAR 
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC AS A RESULT OF THE INTERACTION OF THE 
TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH. FOR NOW IT 
APPEARS THAT THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND 
TSTMS IN THE VICINITY THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 100W.  

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND OVER WATERS S OF 05N W OF 105W.  
 
$$
MUNDELL