000
AXPZ20 KNHC 132135
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2205 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.5N 110.2W AT 13/2100 UTC 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB. MAX 
SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 30 FT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
OCCURRING WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. CRISTINA WILL STEADILY 
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NW DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 

...TROPICAL WAVE...                                              
A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO COSTA RICA IS ENHANCING SHOWERS 
OVER WATERS S OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. THE TROPICAL WAVE MAY 
BECOME LESS DISTINCT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH 
THE MONSOON TROUGH. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N93W TO 12N104W. THE 
ITCZ IS FROM 10N115W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 100W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
HIGH PRESSURE WELL NNW OF THE AREA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 
NEAR 25N120W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE 
CENTER AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS 
MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER WESTERN WATERS. THESE 
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES FORMING IN THE FAR 
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC AS A RESULT OF THE INTERACTION OF THE 
TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH. FOR NOW IT 
APPEARS THAT THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND 
TSTMS IN THE VICINITY THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 100W.  

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL CONTINUE DURING THE 
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER WATERS S OF 05N W OF 105W.  
 
$$