000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130906
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.7N 109.1W AT 13/0900 UTC 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB. MAX 
SEAS NEAR THE CENTER ARE IN EXCESS OF 30 FT. SCATTERED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE STORM CENTER. 
CRISTINA CONTINUES A WEAKENING TREND AND WILL STEADILY WEAKEN AS 
IT CONTINUES WNW DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N91W TO 12N101W...IT 
THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N109W TO 08N122W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 
06N130W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS 
NOTED WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 116W AND 120W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1033 MB IS CENTERED WELL NNW OF THE AREA NEAR 
43N143W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 24N120W. PRESSURE 
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER AND LOWER PRESSURE IN 
THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS MAINTAINING MAINLY GENTLE TO 
MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL 
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE FAR EASTERN WATERS. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED N OF 
05N E OF 82W ASSOCIATED TO THIS WAVE. LOOKING AHEAD...GLOBAL 
MODELS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES FORMING IN THE FAR EASTERN 
NORTH PACIFIC AS A RESULT OF THE INTERACTION OF THE TROPICAL 
WAVE AND THE MONSOON TROUGH. FOR NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE MAIN 
IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE VICINITY 
THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 100W.  

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE 
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN WATERS W OF 105W.  
 
$$ 
AL