000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120933
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC THU JUN 12 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 106.5W OR ABOUT 210 NM 
SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MOVING W-NW AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 
960 MB. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM W OF CENTER 
OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER OVER THE E 
SEMICIRCLE. CRISTINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE 
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE 
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY AND GENERAL THE MOTION IS EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 07N90W. ITCZ FROM 7N90W TO 
11N100W THEN RESUMES 11N111W TO 07N116W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 111W TO 
118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM 
OF TROUGH/ITCZ BETWEEN 82W AND 93W...WITHIN 150 NM N OF ITCZ 
BETWEEN 118W TO 125W...AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION N OF 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 90W. 

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
ALTHOUGH ASCAT SATELLITE DATA DOES NO LONGER INDICATED WINDS 
ABOVE 20 KT N OF 24N W OF 130W...A PAIR OF ALTIMETER SATELLITE 
PASSES FROM THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL HOURS DOES INDICATE SEAS FROM 8 
TO 10 FT IN THIS AREA AND ARE PARTLY DUE TO NORTHERLY SWELL. 
THESE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. FARTHER SOUTH NEAR THE ITCZ...ONLY MODERATE TRADE WIND 
FLOW IS INDICATED IN ASCAT DATA. FARTHER SOUTH NEAR THE 
ITCZ...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. 

SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH CROSS-EQUATORIAL 
SOUTHERLY FLOW W OF 110W CONVERGING INTO GENERALLY LIGHT E WINDS 
N OF 08N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE IN 
THIS AREA OF SPEED CONVERGENCE...FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 
105W. 

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP 
NORTHWARD W OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH  
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT OVER THE S/CENTRAL WATERS.
 
$$ 
PAW