000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120254
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC THU JUN 12 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 105.8W OR ABOUT 250 NM 
SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MOVING WNW AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 
975 MB. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SOME INTENSIFICATION ALONG A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK WITH A SLIGHT 
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED 
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N109W TO 07N130W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 07N130W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 30 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 110W AND 124W. 

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 125W N OF 17N  
ASSOCIATED WITH A SHARP UPPER TROUGH ALONG 130W WITH AREAS OF 20 
TO 25 KT WINDS BETWEEN THE SURFACE TROUGH AND HIGH PRES N OF THE 
AREA...ENCOMPASSING THE AREA N OF 22N W OF 130W. ALTIMETER DATA 
INDICATED SEAS TO 8-12 FT IN THIS AREA. FARTHER SOUTH NEAR THE 
ITCZ...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. 

SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH CROSS-EQUATORIAL 
SOUTHERLY FLOW W OF 120W CONVERGING INTO GENERALLY LIGHT E WINDS 
N OF 06N. CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THIS AREA 
OF SPEED CONVERGENCE...FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W.

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP 
NORTHWARD W OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEAS 
WILL BE 7 TO 10 FT OVER CENTRAL WATERS S OF 04N THROUGH THU.
 
$$ 
MUNDELL