000
AXPZ20 KNHC 112120
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2205 UTC WED JUN 11 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...                                            
HURRICANE CRISTINA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 105.2W OR ABOUT 240 NM 
S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MOVING W AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB. 
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER AND 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION UP TO 200 NM E OF THE 
CENTER...BUT STAYING OFF THE COAST. AN ALTIMETER SATELLITE FROM 
EARLIER THIS MORNING INDICATED SEAS TO 8 FT WERE REACHING THE 
COAST BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO. SOME INTENSIFICATION AND 
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN 
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. FOR 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ISSUED UNDER 
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC. 
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N109W TO 07N130W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 07N130W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN 30 NM N AND 60 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 110W AND 124W. 

...DISCUSSION...                                                 
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 125W N OF 17N  
ASSOCIATED WITH A SHARP UPPER TROUGH ALONG 130W WITH AREAS OF 20 
TO 25 KT WINDS BETWEEN THE SURFACE TROUGH AND HIGH PRES N OF THE 
AREA...ENCOMPASSING THE AREA N OF 22N W OF 130W. ALTIMETER DATA 
INDICATED SEAS TO 8-12 FT IN THIS AREA. FARTHER SOUTH NEAR THE 
ITCZ...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. 

SCATTEROMETER DATA ALSO SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH CROSS-EQUATORIAL 
SOUTHERLY FLOW W OF 120W CONVERGING INTO GENERALLY LIGHT E WINDS 
N OF 06N. CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED IN 
THIS AREA OF SPEED CONVERGENCE...FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 
95W...AND 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W.

CROSS-EQUATORIAL LONG PERIOD SE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP 
NORTHWARD W OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEAS 
WILL BE 7 TO 10 FT OVER CENTRAL WATERS S OF 04N THROUGH THU.
 
$$ 
MUNDELL