000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090245
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC MON JUN 09 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE... 
                                           
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SW MEXICAN COAST WAS 
ANALYZED AS A TROUGH FROM 17N105W TO 15N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 
15N103W. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MOVES WNW. IT HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THAT TIME.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...  
  
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED FROM 09N76W TO 10N90W TO 15N100W 
AND THEN CONTINUES FROM 22N112W TO 12N120W TO 09N128W. THE ITCZ 
AXIS IS LOCATED FROM 09N128W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 
85W AND 94W AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N97W 
TO 08N103W. 
   
...DISCUSSION...  
                                               
AN ELONGATED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS 
POSITIONED JUST N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 34N131W. A TROUGH 
AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE CIRCULATION THROUGH 31N140W. THE 
CIRCULATION IS MOVING NE ABOUT 20 KNOTS. A BROAD AREA OF 
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS LOCATED N OF ABOUT 15N E OF 133W INTO 
WESTERN MEXICO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE 
IN THIS AREA. MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED FROM 
08N TO 20N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WITH SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT 
WINDS INDICATING SPEEDS IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE. MODERATE 
EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA S OF 10N TO THE EQUATOR E OF ABOUT 110W INTO 
COLOMBIA. 

IN THE AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 137W WINDS ARE NW TO N 20 
TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL. AT THE 
SURFACE RIDGING COVERS THE AREA N OF 18N W OF ABOUT 115W.

$$ 
CAB