000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050913
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1005 UTC THU JUN 05 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
10N89W...TO ANOTHER 1007 MB LOW NEAR 12N101W TO 13N106W TO 
10N120W. ITCZ FROM 10N120W TO BEYOND 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90-120 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS E OF 86W.

...DISCUSSION...     

A 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION THROUGH 
30N130W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE NEAR 27N115W. THE 
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER 
PRESSURE ALONG THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE 
TRADE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THESE 
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...INCREASING SLIGHT BY 
SATURDAY TO 20 TO 25 KT. LOOKING AHEAD...THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH 
THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY NORTHERLY 10 SECOND 
PERIOD SWELL TO 9 FT PUSHING SOUTH OF 30N AND COVERING THE AREA 
N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W.

AN ASCAT SATELLITE PASS FROM 0348 UTC INDICATED A WEAK 
CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 12N101W. THIS WAS SAMPLED BY AN 
EARLIER ASCAT PASS YESTERDAY AND APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED 
CONSIDERABLY SINCE THAT TIME. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW IT 
MOVING LITTLE AND DISSIPATING THROUGH THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS.

OUTSIDE OF COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL 
AMERICA...NO SIGNIFICANT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS 
NOTED. A FEW ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED IN THE 
LIGHT TO MODERATE SW FLOW W OF 100W. ONLY MINOR CONVECTION IS 
NOTED ALONG THE ITCZ OR MONSOON TROUGH W OF 110W. 

WITH THE DEMISE OF BORIS...NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT 
APPEARS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE FORECAST WIND GRIDS...THROUGH 48 HOURS...ARE A BLEND OF THE 
00Z GFS ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE WAVE 
GRIDS THROUGH 48 HOURS ARE A BLEND OF THE 00Z WAVE WATCH III 
ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
 
$$ 
CHRISTENSEN