000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050305
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0405 UTC THU JUN 05 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
10N89W...TO ANOTHER 1007 MB LOW NEAR 12N101W TO 13N106W TO 
10N120W. ITCZ FROM 10N120W TO BEYOND 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90-120 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS E OF 86W.

...DISCUSSION...     

THE REMNANT LOW OF BORIS HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF 
THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. FOCUS APPEARS TO BE SHIFTING TO AN 
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...1005 MB...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY 
OF CAMPECHE NEAR 13N94W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
ERUPTING OVER GUATEMALA AND SOUTHWESTERN YUCATAN AND ALONG THE 
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO ANGEL AND ACAPULCO WITHIN THE 
LARGER LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC GYRE OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC.  
THE FOCUS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO 
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT 
DAY OR SO.  

A 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION THROUGH 
30N130W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE NEAR 27N115W. THE 
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER 
PRESSURE ALONG THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE 
TRADE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THESE 
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

SHORT-PERIOD 8-10 SECOND NORTHWESTERLY SWELL OF 8 FT WEST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA IS BEING PRODUCED BY NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE 
NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE 
SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOOKING AHEAD... THE 
NEXT NOTEWORTHY SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT EVENT WILL COMMENCE 
SATURDAY MORNING WITH STRONG BREEZE NORTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE 
30N BORDER WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SEAS WILL REACH AROUND 12 FT 
NEAR 30N LATE MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY.

WITH THE DEMISE OF BORIS...NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT 
APPEARS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE UPDATED WIND GRIDS...THROUGH 48 HOURS...ARE A BLEND OF THE 
18Z GFS ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE WAVE 
GRIDS THROUGH 48 HOURS ARE A BLEND OF THE 18Z WAVEWATCHIII ALONG 
WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
 
$$ 
COBB