000
AXPZ20 KNHC 042039
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2205 UTC WED JUN 04 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE BORIS ARE INLAND OVER SE MEXICO 
NEAR 16.5N 94.0W AT 04/2100 UTC MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE N AT 2 
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. NUMEROUS 
SHOWERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF THE REMNANTS. THE REMNANTS OF 
BORIS COULD STILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN 
STATES OF OAXACA...CHIAPAS...VERACRUZ AND TABASCO.  THESE RAINS 
WILL BRING ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS TO AS MUCH AS 20 INCHES 
...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY 
TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. AS 
BORIS HAS DISSIPATED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THERE WILL BE NO 
FURTHER ADVISORIES ON THE SYSTEM. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 1007 MB LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 10N88W...THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N107W TO 10N118W. 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N118W TO BEYOND 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS 
E OF 88W.

...DISCUSSION...     

A 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA EXTENDS A RIDGE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION THROUGH 
29N115W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE. THE PRESSURE 
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SURFACE RIDGE AND THE LOWER PRESSURE ALONG 
THE ITCZ IS PRODUCTING MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE TRADE WINDS 
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THESE SHOULD CONTINUE 
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

SHORT-PERIOD 8-10 SECOND NORTHWESTERLY SWELL OF 8 FT WEST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA IS BEING PRODUCED BY NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE 
NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA.  THESE 
SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH BY THURSDAY MORNING.

THE NEXT NOTEWORTHY SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT EVENT WILL COMMENCE 
SATURDAY MORNING WITH STRONG BREEZE NORTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE 
30N BORDER WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  SEAS WILL REACH AROUND 12 
FT NEAR 30N LATE MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY.

LONG PERIOD 13-14 SECOND SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL FROM THE SOUTHERN 
HEMISPHERE OF 8 FT IS AFFECTING THE FAR SOUTH WATERS W OF THE 
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS. THESE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

WITH THE DEMISE OF BORIS...NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT 
APPEARS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE WIND GRIDS ARE A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF ALONG WITH 
THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.  THE WAVE GRIDS ARE A BLEND OF 
THE 12Z WAVEWATCHIII ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
 
$$ 
LANDSEA