000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110244
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0405 UTC SUN MAY 11 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0245 UTC. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 11N100W TO 07N110W. 
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N111W TO 08N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM 
RADIUS OF 10N92W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 
07N117W TO 08N127W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 

A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERS THE AREA FROM 18N TO 
28N W OF 133W. MOVING DOWNSTREAM THE SOUTHERN END OF A 
MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES IS 
LOCATED N OF 29N E OF 125W INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. WATER VAPOR 
IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER A VAST AREA N OF ABOUT 
15N. A SOUTHWESTERLY JET HAS ITS AXIS EXTENDING FROM NEAR 
10N138W TO 20N123W TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 
WINDS ARE STRONGEST...50 TO 60 KNOTS...BETWEEN 115W AND 122W AS 
INDICATED BY SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE 
LOCATED S OF THE JET TO NEAR 10N. IN 48 HOURS A MIDDLE/UPPER 
LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL BE LOCATED FROM THE NORTHERN GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA TO 26N122W TO 25N130W. BROAD RIDGING ALOFT IS LOCATED 
ROUGHLY N OF 05N INTO CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 85W AND 
106W. AT THE SURFACE A 1028 MB HIGH IS POSITIONED NEAR 
33.5N134.5W WITH BROAD RIDGING EXTENDING S TO 15N W OF 115W. 

$$ 
CAB