000
AXPZ20 KNHC 102138
TWDEP 

TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2205 UTC SAT MAY 10 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2115 UTC. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N87W TO 12N97W TO 07N107W. THE 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N108W TO 08N126W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
A LINE FROM 08N87W TO 11.5N91W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 
LINE FROM 07N115W TO 08N120W...AND FROM 06N TO 08N W OF 135W.

...DISCUSSION...                                                 

A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERS MOST OF THE NW PART 
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 18N W OF 130W. MOVING DOWNSTREAM THE 
SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN 
UNITED STATES IS LOCATED N OF 30N E OF 125W INTO NORTHERN 
MEXICO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER A 
VAST AREA N OF ABOUT 15N. A SOUTHWESTERLY JET HAS ITS AXIS 
EXTENDING FROM NEAR 10N140W TO 20N123W TO SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA. WINDS ARE STRONGEST...50 TO 60 KNOTS...BETWEEN 115W 
AND 122W AS INDICATED BY SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. SOUTHWESTERLY 
WINDS ARE LOCATED S OF THE JET TO NEAR 10N. IN 48 HOURS A 
MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL BE LOCATED FROM THE NORTHERN 
GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO 27N122W TO 25N130W. BROAD RIDGING ALOFT IS 
LOCATED ROUGHLY N OF 05N INTO CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 
85W AND 106W. AT THE SURFACE A 1029 MB HIGH IS POSITIONED NEAR 
33.5N134W WITH BROAD RIDGING EXTENDING S TO 15N W OF 120W. 

$$ 
CAB