000 AXPZ20 KNHC 141520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON APR 14 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC STORM WARNING WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST OF TEXAS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE WITH WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING TO GALE FORCE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TUE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH EITHER STRONG GALE FORCE OR EVEN MINIMAL STORM FORCE BY TUE EVENING. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHORT LIVED...BUT STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING...AND WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY WED AFTERNOON. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 9N85W TO 7N92W. ITCZ FROM 7N92W TO 5N105W TO 2N111W THEN STARTS BACK AT 6N130W TO 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 85W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ...DISCUSSION... BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA BASICALLY W OF 115W. AN 85-100 KT JETSTREAM ENTERS THE AREA AT 21N140W TO 28N130W INTO CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 600 NM S OF THE JETSTREAM W OF 125W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH E OF THE RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 16N116W TO THE EQUATOR AT 112W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 85W-100W. SURFACE HIGH PRES RIDGE IS N OF 15N W OF 111W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE ITCZ IS STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ELY WINDS TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL FROM 5N-13N W OF 130W. $$ DGS