000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280244
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0405 UTC FRI MAR 28 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N79W TO 04N90W TO 04N98W TO 03N106W TO 
06N114W TO 07N127W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS  
FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W...AND FROM 02N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 140W.

...DISCUSSION...  

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 
30N130W TO 15N140W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT 
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS W OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SIGNIFICANT 
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS E OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ZONAL FLOW WITH 
CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND A 90-105 KT JETSTREAM IS N 
OF 20N E OF 125W TO INCLUDE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTH 
MEXICO.

IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 7N130W. 
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 4N114W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL 
HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 4N100W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTEND ENE FROM THIS 
CENTER TO COSTA RICA. 

A 1024 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 28N133W. SURFACE RIDGING IS 
N OF 12N W OF 108W. 

20 TO 25 KT NW WINDS WITH SEAS TO 8 FT ARE ALONG THE COAST OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF 28N E OF 118W. THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL 
SUBSIDE WITHIN 24 HOURS.  
 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT TRADEWINDS WITH NW SWELL TO 9 FT ARE 
ACROSS THE AREA FROM 06N TO 20N W OF 120W. THE SWELL AREA WILL 
DECREASE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

A NEW SWELL AREA OF 8 TO 9 FT WILL BE OVER THE NW CORNER IN 24 
HOURS AND WILL MOVE SE.  

ELY WINDS TO 20-30 KT THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL CONTINUE 
TO PULSE FOR THE NEXT 42 HOURS.

NLY WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 20-25 KT THROUGH THE GULF OF PANAMA.
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT FRI AFTERNOON.

$$
FORMOSA