000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272110
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC THU MAR 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 02N81W TO 04N94W TO 03N104W TO 07N114W TO 
05N130W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 110W. 

...DISCUSSION...  

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 
30N130W TO 15N140W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT 
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS W OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SIGNIFICANT 
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS E OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ZONAL FLOW WITH 
CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND A 90-105 KT JETSTREAM IS N 
OF 20N E OF 125W TO INCLUDE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTH 
MEXICO.

IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 7N130W. 
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 4N114W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL 
HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 4N100W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTEND ENE FROM THIS 
CENTER TO COSTA RICA. 

NW SWELL TO 9 FT IS ACROSS THE AREA N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-
125W. THE SWELL WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT SAT.

A 1024 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 28N134W. THE PRES GRADIENT 
BETWEEN THE HIGH AND THE ITCZ IS RESULTING IN TRADEWINDS 20-25 
KT FROM 6N-20N W OF 122W. THE HIGH WEAKENS AND THE WINDS 
DECREASE TO 20 KT OR LESS FRI.

ELY WINDS TO 20-30 KT THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL CONTINUE 
TO PULSE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NLY WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 20-25 KT THROUGH THE GULF OF PANAMA.
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT FRI AFTERNOON.

$$
FORMOSA