000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252150
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC TUE MAR 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

NO MONSOON TROUGH IS PRESENT. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N108W 
TO 06N125W TO BEYOND 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 05N BETWEEN 98W AND 104W...FROM 
03N TO 05N BETWEEN 112W AND 115W... AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM N OF 
THE ITCZ BETWEEN 122W AND 128W.
  
...DISCUSSION...  

A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 27N135W THEN 
CONTINUES AS A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT TO 26N140W. 
ASSOCIATED WINDS REMAIN 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER A SET OF NW 
SWELL WITH SEAS OF 8-14 FT IS OUTRUNNING THE FRONT COVERING THE 
WATERS N OF 20N W OF A LINE FROM 20N137W TO 30N130W. THE FRONT 
WILL COMPLETELY DISSIPATE BY 24 HOURS WHILE THE SET OF NW SWELL 
COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N W OF A LINE FROM 20N128W TO 30N119W 
WHILE MAX SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS SUBSIDE TO 11 FT. THE BACK 
EDGE OF THE SWELL WILL DECAY TO LESS THAN 8 FT OVER THE NW 
CORNER BY 48 HOURS WHILE THE LEADING EDGE OF SEAS OF 8 FT OR 
GREATER ARRIVES AT THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS S OF THE FRONT AND N OF THE 
ITCZ WHICH IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG TRADES FROM 08N TO 20N 
W OF A LINE FROM 08N120W TO 20N130W...ALONG WITH 8-10 FT SEAS IN 
MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST 
THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT EASTERN EXPANSION IN 
COVERAGE. 

GAP WINDS...                                                    
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING 
THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN 
NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND IT WHICH WILL FUNNEL THROUGH THE CHIVELA 
PASS TO AND DOWNWIND OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. EXPECT FRESH TO 
STRONG WINDS TO ARRIVE IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...INCREASING TO 
NEAR GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS 
BY WED EVENING AS WINDS BEGIN TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
ASSOCIATED SEAS WILL BUILD TO UP TO 11 FT LATE TONIGHT...THEN 
WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY WED EVENING. IT SHOULD BE 
NOTED THAT THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD 
BRIEFLY REACH MINIMAL GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WED.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT DURING THE 
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT...THEN TO 20-25 KT 
LATE WED NIGHT AND THU MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER 
CENTRAL AMERICA TIGHTENS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8-10 FT DURING THE 
STRONGEST WINDS.

$$
LEWITSKY