000
AXPZ20 KNHC 242134
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC MON MAR 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 05N77W TO 06N94W. THE ITCZ 
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N94W TO 07N120W TO BEYOND 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 
06N77W TO 02N85W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 01N TO 07N BETWEEN 
92W AND 96W...WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 100W 
AND 105W...WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 116W AND 
122W...AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 
130W AND 134W.
  
...DISCUSSION...  

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N137W TO 28N140W. ASSOCIATED WINDS 
ARE 20 KT OR LESS...HOWEVER A SET OF NW SWELL WITH SEAS OF 8-10 
FT IS ARRIVING BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 
30N130W TO 25N140W BY 24 HOURS WHILE WEAKENING...THEN WILL 
DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO UP TO 13 FT IN THE NW 
CORNER BY 12 HOURS...THEN TO 14 FT BY 24 HOURS...THEN WILL 
SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY TO 11 FT BY 48 HOURS AS THE LEADING EDGE OF 
SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER COVERS THE WATERS N OF 20N W OF A LINE 
FROM 30N119W TO 20N128W.

WEAKENING 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS E OF THE COLD FRONT NEAR 
28N131W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO THE SE TO NEAR 16N107W. 
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURE ALONG 
THE ITCZ CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FRESH TRADE WINDS FROM 08N TO 22N 
W OF 126W. THESE TRADES COMBINED WITH NW SWELL IS SUPPORTING 
COMBINED SEAS OF 8-9 FT ACROSS THAT AREA. THE HIGH CENTER WILL 
DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHILE NEW HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN 
TRADES TO AT LEAST FRESH THROUGH 48 HOURS.

GAP WINDS...                                                     
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING 
THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN 
NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND IT WHICH WILL FUNNEL THROUGH THE CHIVELA 
PASS TO AND DOWNWIND OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. EXPECT FRESH TO 
STRONG WINDS TO ARRIVE BY EARLY TUE EVENING...INCREASING TO NEAR 
GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT TUE...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 
48 HOURS AS WINDS BEGIN TO BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. ASSOCIATED 
SEAS WILL BUILD TO UP TO 11 FT OVERNIGHT TUE...THEN SUBSIDING TO 
8 FT BY 48 HOURS.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE-E WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT DURING THE 
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT...THEN TO 20-25 KT 
OVERNIGHT TUE INTO EARLY WED AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER 
CENTRAL AMERICA TIGHTENS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 FT DURING THE 
STRONGEST WINDS.

$$
LEWITSKY