000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220256
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0405 UTC SAT MAR 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.                           

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N78W TO 08N87W TO 04N96W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 02N110W TO 07N119W TO 05N127W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM E OF TROUGH 
AXIS FROM 11N116W TO 06N120W.
     
...DISCUSSION...  

CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET AND BENIGN IN THE FORECAST 
AREA. STRONGEST WINDS ONLY REACHING FRESH BREEZE IMMEDIATELY N 
OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE AND HIGHEST SEAS REACHING 8 FT N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 127W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM HIGH 
PRES WELL N OF AREA BETWEEN 115W AND 140W TO AROUND 17N ACROSS 
THE TROPICAL NE PACIFIC.

VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH 
SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE N OF THE ITCZ W OF 
110W WITH COMBINED SEAS REACHING 7-8 FT W OF 120W. 

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL EXPERIENCE DIURNAL PULSING OF HIGH 
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG W CARIBBEAN WINDS FUNNELING THROUGH 
CENTRAL AMERICA ANOTHER FEW DAYS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES PEAK 
WINDS GREATER THAN 25 KT WILL OCCUR AROUND 12Z EACH MORNING SAT 
THROUGH MON...WITH WIND-DRIVEN SEAS REACHING 8 FT BETWEEN 12Z-
18Z DOWNWIND FROM THE PAPAGAYO SOURCE REGION.
 
$$
MUNDELL